Friday, January 12, 2007

War with Iran

"If the US goal is to start a war with Iran, it may well achieve it."
Editorial - Guardian - January 12, 2007

"The speech reflects a profound misunderstanding of our era. America is acting like a colonial power in Iraq. But the age of colonialism is over. Waging a colonial war in the post-colonial age is self-defeating. That is the fatal flaw of Bush's policy."
Zbigniew Brzezinski - Washington Post

David Seaton's News Links
Anyone who has read Robert Fisk's marvellous book, "The Great War for Civilisation: The Conquest of the Middle East", and especially anyone who has read with attention the chapters on the eight year war between Iraq and Iran, will have some idea of what fighting a war against Iran would be like. If the United States had no other enemies in the world or any other irons in the fire, it might be able to pull it off and I even doubt that. But if it plugs its prestige and power into the high-tension wire of the Shiite tradition of martyrdom and sacrifice, it could find itself with all its fuses blown in the middle of a great depression. 2007 may turn out to be the worst year in the history of the United States. DS

The tension mounts - Editorial - Guardian
Abstract:
Within hours of President Bush's television address, in which he launched his latest strategy for Iraq and rejected any notion that Iran and Syria could be part of the solution, US commandos were putting their commander-in-chief's words into action. Eight helicopters descended on the Iranian consulate in the Kurdish-controlled city of Irbil and seized five Iranian diplomats. "Kidnapped" was the word the Kurds used.(...) From Iran's point of view, the US presence in the region is rapidly becoming more aggressive. First, Washington announced that it was going to send a second aircraft carrier to the Gulf. Then, the UN security council imposed sanctions. Then, there were leaks in Israeli and British press suggesting that Israel is considering using its nuclear arsenal to destroy the one that Iran is widely believed to be trying to build. America, meanwhile, is putting more pressure on international banks to pull out of Iranian ventures, in a move which hit Iran's oil sector and its only means of earning hard currency.(...) Iran's relationship with the Shia firebrand Moqtada al-Sadr is tense. Moqtada has alternatively played the Arab nationalist card against Persian influence, and pledged that if Iran were attacked, he would put his militias at Iran's service. But this ambiguity would disappear if Moqtada himself were to be attacked. If the extra US brigades attempt to clear Moqtada out of his stronghold in the slums of Sadr City, an attack would almost certainly be seen as one on an Iranian proxy. Moqtada's men might be elevated to the status of being the Hizbullah of Iraq by a bloody assault on Sadr City.(...) If the US goal is to start a war with Iran, it may well achieve it. READ IT ALL

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